Recalculating: Steve Chapman on a New Century. Steve Chapman

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not in Bosnia. Not a single American boy or girl died in the war in Kosovo. Those interventions that have gone badly (Somalia, Lebanon) were so brief and small-scale that they can be forgotten.

      To understand that America can fail badly in a war, you have to be old enough to remember the endless, pointless carnage of Vietnam. That’s why, in the ABC News/Washington Post poll, the highest support for the Iraq invasion comes from 18-to-34-year-olds, while the lowest comes from those 65 or older.

      It’s hard for a lot of Americans, particularly young ones, to imagine things going very wrong — either during the war itself or in the occupation that follows. So war has regained its allure of romance and glory.

      If you wonder why people support the war, you might consider why people buy sport-utility vehicles. It’s not because SUVs fill an urgent practical need, but because they carry an aura that a lot of Americans like to project: brawny, rugged, fearless. Enthusiasm for this war serves likewise to convey toughness and bravery in a manner requiring no effort.

      It’s no surprise that two-thirds of men favor military action, compared to only half of women. Tough guys aren’t afraid of a little bloodshed, at least if it’s on the other side of the planet. Only women and wimps — like those effeminate Europeans — bother looking for ways to avoid a fight.

      But pride goeth before a fall, and if Americans persist in launching military crusades around the globe, we’ll eventually rediscover that they can end tragically.

      That’s a lesson only experience can teach.

       Playing patriotism card is shameless

       Thursday, March 27, 2003

      Are you patriotic or anti-war? If you think that’s a false choice, you probably weren’t in attendance at one of the “Pro-America/Support Our Troops” rallies held in cities across the country last weekend.

      In the view of many citizens who favor the invasion of Iraq, opposition is symptomatic of anti-Americanism, and open dissent during a time of war comes close to treason. At some rallies, marchers carried signs saying, “America — Love It or Leave It.”

      It’s hard to see why people should be expected to leave a free country because they have the gall to exercise their freedom. Maybe the ones who should leave are their critics, who would be more comfortable in a country whose government tolerates no criticism — say, Iraq. Or maybe they think we can’t deliver liberty to the Iraqi people unless we first confiscate it from the American people.

      There is no contradiction between loving your country and wanting it to stay out of unwise wars that expose American soldiers and civilians to needless dangers. Nor does demonstrating against the war imply a desire to see the United States lose. I can’t speak for all critics of the war, but once the bombs started falling, I wanted exactly what the supporters want: a swift victory and the safe return of all our soldiers, marines, sailors and aviators.

      As is often the case when the nation is embroiled in military conflict, however, those who favor war make every effort to appropriate the flag as their own political symbol. They insist that public opposition to the war provides comfort to Saddam Hussein and betrays those risking their lives in Iraq. Fox News host Bill O’Reilly said a few weeks ago, “It is our duty as loyal Americans to shut up once the fighting begins, unless facts prove the operation wrong, as was the case in Vietnam.”

      Shut up once the fighting begins? You first, Bill. People who opposed the war have no duty to gag themselves once the war is underway — any more than Bill Clinton’s enemies had an obligation to cease their criticism once he won his impeachment trial.

      Nor is blind support of government policy any favor to those in uniform. Supporters of the war often suggest that the debate is between those with military experience and those without. Not so. Many of its advocates in the administration haven’t served — including Vice President Dick Cheney and Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz. The main skeptic has been Colin Powell, former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

      Some prominent veterans have criticized the administration for invading Iraq rather than simply keeping Hussein in the cage to which he has been confined for 12 years. Retired Marine Gen. Anthony Zinni, former commander of U.S. forces in the Middle East, came out against the invasion last year. So did Brent Scowcroft, a retired Air Force general who served as national security adviser to the first President Bush.

      They have plenty of company. Shortly before the war began, an organization called Veterans for Common Sense sent a public letter to the White House signed by 986 veterans of every rank and service, saying that they “strongly question the need for war at this time.”

      One of them was Charles Sheehan-Miles, a decorated Army combat veteran of the Persian Gulf war and a co-founder of the group. What did he think about protesters back then? “It made me happy that there were people who cared enough to take a stand on the issue,” he says.

      As for the reaction of his fellow soldiers, Sheehan-Miles recalls, “It was mixed. Some thought nobody should protest, and some thought it was OK, and a lot didn’t care one way or the other.” It doesn’t show much regard for our military people to think they would fall to pieces upon hearing that some people question the president’s mission.

      Supporters of the war don’t really believe that dissent is intolerable in wartime. Even O’Reilly said it would be defensible if “facts prove the operation wrong.” You can be sure conservatives will object loudly if they think the administration is waging the war with insufficient force or resolve. But if that sort of criticism isn’t dangerous to the war effort, why is criticism from the other side?

      Playing the patriotism card or the veterans card is a shameless attempt to discredit and intimidate dissenters, which is easier than proving them wrong. The real divide is between those who see open debate in a democracy as a weakness and those who see it as a strength. The anti-war demonstrators may be wrong about some things, but they’re right about that.

       Sunday, March 30, 2003

      America is the most secure nation on Earth — and the most insecure. The war in Iraq baffles the rest of the world because it reflects our tendency to see urgent perils that others don’t. We spend as much on defense as the rest of the world combined. But we regard Saddam Hussein, the beleaguered dictator of a small, poor, faraway nation, as a threat too great to tolerate.

      This is a different kind of war from what the world is used to. In Afghanistan, we were pursuing an enemy that had killed thousands of Americans. But Iraq hasn’t attacked the United States, hasn’t threatened to attack the United States, has nothing to gain by attacking the United States, and hasn’t acquired the capacity to do us any serious harm. The Bush administration has gone to war solely because Iraq might, someday, put us at risk.

      One reason Americans support this war, whether it proceeds quickly or slowly, is that they look forward to being rid of this chronic nuisance so we can enjoy a more peaceful world. But the march to Baghdad looks to be just the opening battle in a broader and more dangerous war — against any potential adversary, anyplace in the world.

      That’s the message of the new national security strategy unveiled by the administration last year. It asserts the right of the U.S. to launch preventive wars, if necessary — and not just to eliminate immediate threats, but to head off “emerging threats before

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