For manufacturers with fewer than 50 employees, the cost rose to nearly $35,000 per employee.13 In a mediocre economy with many out of work and facing dwindling employment opportunities, we should not have saddled American consumers with higher prices for energy, food, and other commodities.
Also, in the aftermath of a period of expansionist rulemaking, it was imperative for the CFTC to base rulemaking on hard data. Far too often, CFTC rulemaking was built upon anecdote and supposition. To the extent the CFTC's 2013 position-limits proposal had been based on data at all, that data had been out of date, unreliable, and riddled with errors. I refused to support a new position-limits rule in the absence of better data justifying it.
In spring 2015, at a Texas energy markets conference at the esteemed Houston Club, I put it this way:
“Some people love to cite data when it supports their arguments. When it doesn't, they conveniently ignore it. In the case of position limits, there is an entire absence of any data based, quantitative foundation for the proposed regulations. This absence cannot be ignored. It draws into the question the entire efficacy and validity of the CFTC's proposed position limits regulations.”
What I didn't know at the time was that there may have been a reason the data was so poor. The CFTC's office of chief economist was evidently being blocked from producing the type of “data-based, quantitative foundation” required for any worthwhile regulatory proposal. This would come to light six months later, when a report of the CFTC's Inspector General revealed:
CFTC “economists identified position limits as an example of a topic on which economic research is no longer permitted … Several other economists confirmed their impression that [The Office of Chief Economist] is now censoring research topics that might conflict with the official positions of the CFTC … [The Inspector General] discussed this concern on multiple occasions with the current Chief Economist. He agreed that he had initially rejected a research proposal on position limits on the basis that it was politically controversial.”14
Both publicly and privately, I denounced the flimsiness of the purported economic basis for the position limits proposal. I made clear to my colleagues and the staff that I would support a well-founded, well-crafted rule, but I would vigorously and vocally oppose a poorly conceived one not based on sound data.
In the summer of 2016, the CFTC released for public comment a supplement to its December 2013 position-limits proposal. It relaxed the procedures for persons seeking exemptions to pursue certain specific, bona fide hedging strategies. It also defined methods for recognizing trading strategies for which exemptions would be available.
I had encouraged and supported this supplement. While not the broad revamping of the position-limits proposal that I preferred, it was a solid step in the right direction. I believe it evidenced the thoughtful attention of Chairman Massad.
Later that year the staff put forward a proposal with still more improvements. It relied on up-to-date commodity and market data, was more practically designed, and would be less costly to comply with. I supported its publication for public notice and comment. This improved proposal came about at least in part, I believe, due to the pressure that I had exerted. My farm and oil patch visits had given me the credibility to insist that American farmers and energy producers not be allowed to become collateral damage of reforms meant to rein in Wall Street.
A few years later, I would direct the CFTC's work on a revised position-limits proposal. We were determined that the rule be responsive to public comments. We would not place regulatory barriers in the way of long-standing hedging practices used by American farmers, ranchers, producers, and manufacturers. While I was not able to present the proposal for a commission vote before I left the agency, my team did leave behind a working draft that served as a foundation for a quite good rule that was adopted by the commission six months after my departure. Progress made.
This commitment to data-driven analysis would drive my interest in blockchain technology (as I will soon discuss) and underlay the CFTC's response to Bitcoin futures soon on the horizon.
Notes
1 1. US Federal oversight of commodity futures began in 1922 with the Grain Futures Act and was reinforced with the 1936 Commodity Exchange Act.
2 2. Commodity Exchange Act (ch. 545, 49 Stat. 1491, enacted June 15, 1936).
3 3. Steven Lofchie, “CFTC Commissioner Giancarlo Calls for Progress on Swaps Trading Rules,” Commentary, Cadwalader Cabinet (August 4, 2015), available at https://www.findknowdo.com/news/08/04/2015/cftc-commissioner-giancarlo-calls-progress-swaps-trading-rules
4 4. Mike Kentz, “Swap Auctions Gain CFTC Favour: Regulator Gives in to Controversial Broker Execution Protocols,” IFR (August 8, 2015), available at http://www.finregalert.com/swap-auctions-gain-cftc-favour/
5 5. It was the place “where the music died,” in the words of singer Don McLean from his classic anthem, “American Pie.”
6 6. See generally, Statement of Commissioner J. Christopher Giancarlo on Proposed Rule for Position Limits for Derivatives, December 5, 2016, available at https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/giancarlostatement120516
7 7. “The New Mediocre Is Not Good Enough,” Keynote Address of the Author Before the Cato Summit on Financial Regulation (June 2, 2015), available at https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/SpeechesTestimony/opagiancarlos-7#P36_9523, henceforth, “Giancarlo, “The New Mediocre.”
8 8. Labor Force Participation Rates, US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNU01300000 (last visited Jun. 1, 2015).
9 9. Richard Fry, “A Rising Share of Young Adults Live in Their Parents' Home,” Pew Research Center (Aug. 1, 2013), available at http://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2013/08/01/a-rising-share-of-young-adults-live-in-their-parents-home/
10 10. News Release, “Employment Characteristics of Families—2014,” US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics (Apr. 23, 2015), available at http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/famee.pdf.
