Martingales and Financial Mathematics in Discrete Time. Benoîte de Saporta

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Martingales and Financial Mathematics in Discrete Time - Benoîte de Saporta

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ISTE Ltd 2021

      The rights of Benoîte de Saporta and Mounir Zili to be identified as the authors of this work have been asserted by them in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

      Library of Congress Control Number: 2021944040

      British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data

      A CIP record for this book is available from the British Library

      ISBN 978-1-78630-669-2

      Preface

      The authors owe a lot to many people and institutions who have contributed in diverse ways to this book. Most of the material presented in this book was used in various courses at different levels and for different audiences, being constantly amended and improved based on the feedback received from colleagues and students.

      About half of these chapters were initially designed for students studying Financial Engineering as part of their MIMSE master’s program (Engineering Mathematics, Statistics and Economics), created in 2007 and jointly offered by the Universities of Bordeaux 1, Bordeaux 2 and Montesquieu Bordeaux IV, which then merged to form the present-day University of Bordeaux. The students who took this course were awarded their bachelor’s either in economics or mathematics. Some parts of this course benefited from the experience of and collaboration with other professors such as François Dufour and Christine Marois.

      Some chapters in this book are also the results of notes created by a group of teachers on stochastic processes, which were given to students, from 2013 onward, undergoing the course Mathematics and applications as part of their Research Masters under the Faculty of Science in the University of Monastir. In the framework of this stream, and following the initiative of Ali Gannoun and Leila Ben Abdelghani Bouraoui, the course material at Montpellier was also adapted in 2017 for another unit that taught Financial Mathematics in the Faculty of Science at Monastir.

      Other chapters were first designed to be a part of the Stochastic Processes course in the Biostatistics and Mathematics of Information and Decision-Making streams in the Masters in Mathematics offered by the University of Montpellier.

      The authors extend their warmest gratitude to all the people and institutions who have contributed to the creation of this book.

      The authors wish to dedicate this work to Leila Ben Abdelghani Bouraoui and Ali Gannoun.

      Benoîte DE SAPORTA

      Mounir ZILI

      August 2021

      Introduction

      Ever since the work of Black-Scholes-Merton [BLA 73] in 1973, the design, analysis and development of complex financial products and services have required not only an ever-greater understanding of financial theories but also a mastery of probability theory and stochastic processes.

      This book introduces basic concepts of this theory, especially that of discrete-time martingales. It shows how this concept can be applied to the pricing and hedging of derivatives in financial markets. There are many texts in the existing literature that focus on financial mathematics and the evaluation of options, for example [LAM 97, SHR 04, VIN 04]. The majority of these texts consider only continuous-time models and make extensive use of Itô calculus. A few rare books such as [SHR 03] introduce discrete-time studies, but this is also done to prepare readers to understand continuous-time financial markets. The most unique feature of this book is that it is entirely devoted to discrete time and provides a detailed introduction to the construction of the rigorous mathematical tools required for the evaluation of options in financial markets. The only pre-requisite for this book is a basic understanding of probability. Several theoretical and numerical aspects are studied in this book, explored through multiple examples and exercises for which complete solutions are provided.

      To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this book is the first reference to include both mathematical teaching with multiple exercises that have detailed solutions, focusing on discrete martingales and their application to financial markets, and practical work with solutions, using the software R. Special attention is paid to the Cox, Ross and Rubinstein model in discrete time.

      This book is arranged as follows: Chapter 1 reviews the basic concepts and notations in probability and random variables, especially discrete variables, and also provides an introduction to the concept of stochastic processes. Chapter 2 is dedicated to the introduction and study of the concept of conditional expectation, a key concept in the definition of martingales and the computation of financial options. Chapter 3 aims to introduce an interesting example of stochastic process, namely a simple symmetric random walk, with minimal formalism. This chapter may be read as a standalone chapter. Chapter 4 defines and characterizes the concept of a martingale in discrete time and studies certain properties.

      From Chapter 5 onward, we focus on financial mathematics, strictly speaking. We define essential financial vocabulary such as the concept of a financial asset, investment strategy and the concept of arbitrage. We also begin to establish a link with martingales. We also introduce a typical example of a discrete financial market: the Cox, Ross and Rubinstein binomial model, which acts as a guiding thread through all the following chapters. In particular, the question of Optimal Portfolio Management in this model is studied through guided work. This is a discretized version of the famous Merton problem, originally posed in the continuous Black and Scholes [MER 69] model. Chapter 6 introduces and studies the first large and specific category of conditional assets, i.e. European options. This is the simplest example of a financial asset which may be exercised subject to the realization of a certain condition. We examine, in detail, the question of the pricing and hedging of these options in the general case of a discrete financial market and then in the specific case of the Cox, Ross and Rubinstein model. Chapter 7 is dedicated to the study of a slightly more complex family of conditional assets: American options. We once again undertake a detailed study of the question of the pricing and hedging of these options and connect them to the theory of optimal stopping, in the general case of a discrete financial market and then in the specific case of the Cox, Ross and Rubinstein model.

      The detailed solution to all the exercises and practical

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