A Risk Professional's Survival Guide. Rossi Clifford
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(1.9)
In the case that the bank is a risk-taker, it can be shown that the second-order condition must satisfy the following:
(1.10)
which implies that
, where q* is the level of bank output that solves the profit maximization problem above. In such situations, q* is greater than the equilibrium level of q that solves. .The implication from this result is that risk-taking leads to higher output produced by the bank than if the bank were risk-neutral.5 With this result we can establish then that asset growth for the bank must be related to the risk appetite of the firm. With the model establishing input demand as a function of input prices and the production function, the model describes how risk-taking at the bank relates to a target level of output. This framework suggests that deposits certainly are a factor of production, but that asset growth and investment in riskier products is driven more by overall risk-taking of the firm rather than fueled by deposit strategies. In this formulation, output is determined by the least cost combination of inputs subject to various constraints on those inputs. The existence of technical constraints on inputs can influence input allocation. For instance, if banks set a target level of assets for the next year that cannot be funded solely with retail deposits due to capacity constraints, then brokered and other wholesale deposits would be used to fill the gap, subject again to profit maximization conditions. With this framework describing the bank’s conceptual constrained profit maximization problem, it is instructive to dig deeper into some of the structural, market and regulatory aspects of banking that affect the way risk management is performed.
SIFIBANK STRUCTURE AND HISTORY
SifiBank is actually made up of a collection of legal vehicles; that is, structural entities of a particular type of financial institution including a commercial bank, thrift, investment company and finance company. As a result, SifiBank is technically a bank holding company, a parent entity formed around the subsidiary banking units. Conceptually, the structure of SifiBank is shown in Figure 1.2. A bank holding company was created to oversee the subsidiary companies. Within the holding company structure are a bank holding company that has several commercial banks, a thrift and a finance company.6 In addition, SifiBank has a capital markets division (SifiInvestment Bank), and asset management and brokerage division and a corporate services unit.
Figure 1.2 SifiBank Corporate Structure
The origins of SifiBank go back 200 years when First National Bank and Trust of Baltimore (FNBTB) was founded by the son of one of the signers of the Declaration of Independence. The bank grew over the next 170 years largely through organic growth as opposed to merger and acquisition. The bank had for nearly two centuries operated under very conservative business standards that kept it largely out of financial trouble even during a series of major and minor financial panics, including the Great Depression.
In 1987, the bank underwent a change in CEO and president when the bank itself was bought out by a rival institution with less name brand recognition. That institution recognized the value of FNBTB and embarked on a strategy to opportunistically grow the bank by purchasing weak but well-known thrifts that had large retail footprints in markets complementary to FNBTB. Over this period FNBTB tripled its size in terms of total consolidated assets across all subsidiaries and it was during this period that SifiBank was born. By 2014, total assets of the bank had grown to $1 trillion, making it one of the largest financial institutions in the world and number three by asset size in the United States.
The chairman and CEO of SifiBank was an icon in banking, credited with turning a number of sick banks into financial powerhouses largely based on heavy cost-cutting, and a strategy of creating a financial supermarket that would find broad appeal cutting across different customers and product segments. The theory was that by offering a full service array of products and services to all types of consumers, corporations and even sovereign clients, the bank would be able to diversify its revenue streams and expand its markets better than any peers. While it began as a United States–only institution, by the 1990s it had branched out into several countries in Europe and Asia. Today, revenue from its foreign branches accounts for less than 10 percent of SifiBank’s revenues. While the strategy of a “universal” bank lived up to its promise of delivering significant growth for its shareholders, it also came with significant risks. The holding company structure became unwieldy as it established hundreds of subsidiary units to take advantage of tax regulations, accounting rules and other legal benefits from these structures. However, this complex web of various subsidiary organizations led to a fragmentation in management and oversight of the company, making it extremely difficult to get a holistic perspective on the operating units and risks each posed to SifiBank.
Mergers and acquisitions accounted for 80 percent of the growth of SifiBank over the past 30 years. When a prospective acquisition target was identified, SifiBank’s M&A team ran the financials to ensure the acquisition had accretive value to the overall firm. Importantly, left out of that financial analysis was the cost of integrating different origination, financial, accounting, servicing, and risk information systems across platforms and subsidiaries. Eventually, SifiBank was forced to maintain 10 different operating systems for financial management and reporting. In some cases it was nearly impossible to roll up a consolidated view of a particular class of assets as data and metrics oftentimes did not align across businesses. For mortgages, SifiBank originated loans primarily from three commercial bank subsidiaries of SifiCommercial Bank, a thrift subsidiary consolidated from several it bought during the thrift crisis and a finance company that catered to subprime borrowers. It used one definition of mortgage default based on the Mortgage Bankers Association definition for its banking entities, but used different definitions for both its thrift and finance company units. Beyond this problem the bank experienced significant difficulties in aggregating its exposures and was plagued by a host of data accuracy and reporting issues. These system issues, while ignored during the M&A decision-making process, had come home to roost for SifiBank. By greatly impairing its ability to understand the kinds of risks it was taking on across the firm in a timely fashion, this infrastructure problem played a major role in limiting the bank’s reaction to the growing asset bubble forming in the housing market in the mid-2000s. Something more subtle and pervasive within SifiBank would ultimately result in the near death of the company in the aftermath of the financial crisis of 2008. Specifically, this was the company’s focus on growth, the lack of a risk culture, and weak governance during that period.
SIFIBANK ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE AND OVERSIGHT GOVERNANCE
SifiHolding Company is a publicly traded company that was headed by the CEO who also held the title of Chairman of the Board of Directors in the years leading up to the financial crisis. This consolidated power of having both the CEO and chairman titles along with this individual’s unique personal stature in the industry afforded him an ability to run SifiBank in a fashion that met with little opposition to the direction he sought for the company.
The board was composed of 10 members, all handpicked by the CEO and all well-known friends or associates. Two members had some related background in financial services – specifically, having been CEOs of an insurance company and investment company – and no one on the board had any direct risk management experience. The board met quarterly for one day each time and in addition to holding a meeting of the full board to review important issues it also broke up into several committee
5
The concept of risk-neutrality is a fundamental concept in financial theory and its treatment in detail is beyond the scope of this book. However, a risk-neutral investor is indifferent between accepting a risky payoff and one that is 100 percent certain to occur.