area in a city. We do know the nature of the virus, which is a SARS type we call it COVID-19, as we cannot identify it as one of the known types. We, indeed, seem to have a problem, but I think it is under control as it is remaining local. In any case, taking measures to avoid a pandemic will be extremely costly and something that only China would bear the cost of, which would severely damage the economy short term. T e could then lose our position in many markets, or market share at least. We are hoping to avoid these losses. If we do have to take measures, we must discuss the best strategies so that we do not damage our economic position. I think Russia and China could work together closely. We may be able to get some leverage on the West and others if the COVID-19 does spread in a rapid fashion, then at least the shutdown would be general and hopefully China and Russia could open up before our competitors.
(They generally talk as agreed in international protocol, in mostly pre-prepared, large sections over a video link, allowing translation, and less delays or misunderstandings than would occur if each point were individually replied to.)
The President of Russia - I think this is an excellent idea. If there is a problem here, I can see,looking forward that the Oil price will be very much lower than we can manage our economy. I can see that any reduction in demand from China will certainly topple the Oil price, which has been unstable for many years now. This may be the time to correct the situation and get some people, their countries, and companies out of the game. We can get better leverage over a cartel that can better regulate the industry. We must also take the opportunity to reduce American Oil production, as their only aim to date is to increase production continually, which in the end reduces our market share.
To be effective you must keep me informed ahead of anyone else about the situation and your intended actions. I need to be able to predict the timing of the Oil price drop so that I can use my resources to their best advantage. The newly formed Russian Sovereign fund has the equivalent of 124 billion USD in it, and although this sounds like a lot, we are intending to use it to help compensate the loss of revenue in this Oil price drop. As you can understand, this will not last long, especially as we will have the extra costs from the virus measures as well as having to replace the Oil cash inflow. This number is not a lot if you look at how long and how low the Oil price will need to go to get the shale boys out. We normally earn about that much (124 Billion USD) per year from Oil and Gas alone.
We must tread carefully not to allow unintended consequences. In Venezuela, the immediate outlook is one of bankruptcy. They will be especially vulnerable at very long period of low Oil prices. One way out of that would be to have regime change, therefore better government, and better world co-operation. But I would like to avoid a regime change as I know this is a result which would be welcomed by America. We will have to consider how to help Venezuela as we proceed. Maybe we can get Iran to assist them, they usually get along well.
(Both parties know the position of Iran, and its Kurdistan region run by the KRG, it is a semi-autonomous region, which relies completely on funding from the central Iraq government. To date, it is in turmoil and has not been paid for six months. During this Oil price attack there could be millions of deaths there due to hunger and civil unrest.)
The Russian President continued- Maybe Turkey can assist with the problems in the Kurdistan region of Iraq, and then the Middle East, in general, the region needs our care and attention. It often serves as our buffer between us and the West, so we need to keep it. Wars by proxy have been fought there for decades now. I believe Iran is at great risk of American invasion or US backed Israeli aggression against its nuclear deterrent building. We must back them up and assist with the extreme poverty and suffering that the low Oil price will provoke there, otherwise millions will die of the effects. I believe that Syria will be additionally affected, so we must take care of Assad. Maybe direct funding will be the only way to allow him to continue paying for his heroic defence against the persistent greed-motivated western aggression. Which is destroying a people and a beautiful historic land.
There may be other opportunities as well, which we can opportunistically exploit, whilst we seize this lull in demand for Oil to attack the price without a physical war and reduce competition in the Oil markets in the future. Maybe there could be the possibility to bankrupt the US, or at least cause enough monetary loss to permanently damage their economy and allow our countries much better world freedom. We could at least end up with the power we had through Middle East co-operation to crush the Western economy through Oil. Remember the events of 1973. Whilst America is the world’s leading producer, we no longer have the power we had then, we need to get it back then we will dominate the world as America does now.
President of China replies, this is a complicated situation which requires some detailed planning. I think it will become clear in the next one or one and a half months, what action we need to take on this COVID-19. I believe the best we could do would be to allow it to get a hold as a pandemic before I shutdown and try to eliminate it from China. This will give us a timing advantage and a greatly weaker world economy to combat against.
We must consider, if we were to shut down now and ensure that no pandemic occurred, we would be severely weakened by the Oil price. Our loss in industry and the lead in many technologies such as electric cars, computers, batteries, telephones, and Wi-Fi would be severely worsened. For this reason, I must take the risk to allow some more time for the COVID-19 to permeate Europe and America before I take any action which will weaken our economy. I will try to unofficially limit visa restrictions communicated to my officials, but make this public, limiting travel to friendly countries as well as some of the poorer ones that may have trouble dealing with the outbreak.
President – I must ask you this, although I trust I know what your answer will be. Did you create the COVID-19 in a lab? Because if it was modified in anyway, then of course as we all know, the West will be able to see that. If they see that, they will consider it a chemical attack, which will almost inevitably lead to full scale physical World ar. I think neither of us wants that, so we would have to take a different course of actions were that the case to limit damage.
President – We were researching the COVID-19 in the lab to see how easy it would be to make effective antiviral drugs on vaccines for viruses that can occur. The origin of the COVID-19 was entirely natural, and we have not modified it. We do believe, but will never admit, perhaps one of the lab employees did make a mistake and infect himself or even infect himself in order that he could try the remedies. In any case, world relations towards China will never be the same again. I also believe that society will never be the same for decades because the remedy to this COVID-19 will shock the world greatly and hey will remain in great fear every winter. There will be huge money to be made on vaccines and antiviral drugs. This is an area that we were already looking into and want to aggressively pursue, which is why we have delayed giving out any sample of the COVID-19 from the sick people to foreign laboratories for analysis. Chinese laboratories have been growing in strength and capability significantly over the last ten years. We see the opportunity with ageing populations, not least our own, for significant drug requirements in the future. the antiviral drugs and vaccinations really do seem to be a huge opportunity.
resident of Russia I agree, but the timing and extent of the measures must be well thought out so they do not appear to be too late or in fact premeditated or contrived to cover up something. I would suggest that when you do commence any shutdown, probably around the end of January, you do so extremely aggressively. Shutdown China before the rest of the world has really grasped what is happening.
The shutdown should be enormous. It will trigger a similar response from other world leaders as soon as they start getting a lot of cases. For the next one or two months whilst the rest of the world is probably still unaware, they will not really be taking it aggressively. A flu bug comes every year with usually low severity, and many times rumours start that it will be deadly and pandemic, but then it just fizzles out. You must co-operate with and mislead the WHO so that they keep the West calm.
With this COVID-19, the incubation and transmission methods will not be obvious because
