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The evolution of an economic system – the problem of CRISIS
11.7. Role of complexity and diversity in Nature
11.8. Application: how should we proceed when faced with crises and financial crashes/crises?
11.9. Crisis as the end of an evolution
11.10. Collapse theory and modeling – a theory of the “end”
11.11. Design of financial products: the example of world interconnections
11.12. Conclusion
12 Physics and Social Networks: Domain Similarities
12.1. Introducing a similarity of domains
12.2. On the principle of emergence
12.3. Finance, economics and physics: the quantification of emergence
12.4. About Gödel theorems
12.5. Conclusion
13 Managing Behavioral Risks: Uncertainty and Catastrophes
13.1. Introduction
13.2. Implications for intellectual approaches
13.3. The uncertainties
14 On Managing Risk in the Energy Domain: Conventional Problems Encountered
14.1. From a new oil crisis (peak oil) and the resulting energy crisis
14.2. The future: limit of price increases? Implications of the shortage
14.3. Modeling the problem correctly
14.4. Crisis or heuristic tactics? Large-scale oil shock?
14.5. A few conclusive remarks
15 On Managing Risk in the Financial Domain
15.1. Taking about disasters – from risks to catastrophes in finance
15.2. An interesting approach: financial analysis of losses
15.3. When the drama occurs
15.4. How to conduct a risk consequence analysis process?
15.5. Conservatory measures: risk and diversification
15.6. An additional risk: the decline and inversion rate at the stock exchange
15.7. Concluding with additional risks of the shared economy
16 Why Current Tools Are Inadequate
16.1. On the shortcomings of current tools: risk and probability
16.2. A thematic illustration
16.3. What regularities?
16.4. Characteristics of rational expectations in economics
16.5. Risk characteristics in the industry
16.6. A philosophical summary: chance and necessity
16.7. The environment’s new challenge
17 How to Manage Crises?
17.1. The fundamental principles of crisis management
17.2. Early warning risk signals and the basics of risk management
17.3. Five fundamental elements that describe a company
17.4. About stakeholders
18 Managing Crises in Finance and Other Domains
18.1. Reorienting company aims
18.2. Interactions: towards a crisis model?
19 Technological, Monetary and Financial Crashes
19.1. Yet another view to complexity
19.2. The reference financial systems are continuously changing
19.3. Conclusive discussion
5 Conclusion: Different Types of Crises C.1. The crises mesh C.2. Changing economic and industrial cultures
8 Index
List of Tables
1 Chapter 5Table 5.1. Different interaction strategies between market entities
2 Chapter 10Table 10.1. The higher and lower orders
3 Chapter 16Table 16.1. Anomaly indicators
List of Illustrations
1 Chapter 1Figure 1.1. An industrial MRP system with its feedback loopsFigure 1.2. A flexible production systemFigure 1.3. A dynamic industrial system with nonlinear interactionsFigure 1.4. Positioning of paradigms in production management
2 Chapter 2Figure 2.1. Two approaches to managing complex systems (from
