System Reliability Theory. Marvin Rausand

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the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering professional services. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a specialist where appropriate. Further, readers should be aware that websites listed in this work may have changed or disappeared between when this work was written and when it is read. Neither the publisher nor authors shall be liable for any loss of profit or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages.

       Library of Congress Cataloging‐in‐Publication Data

      Names: Rausand, Marvin, author. | Barros, Anne, author. | Høyland, Arnljot,

      1924‐ author.

      Title: System reliability theory : models, statistical methods, and

      applications / Marvin Rausand, Norwegian University of Science &

      Technology, Trondheim, Norway, Anne Barros, CentraleSupélec, Paris‐Saclay University,

      Paris, France, Arnljot Høyland, Norwegian

      University of Science & Technology, Trondheim, Norway.

      Description: Third edition. | Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2021.

      | Series: Wiley series in probability and statistics | Includes

      bibliographical references and index.

      Identifiers: LCCN 2020016182 (print) | LCCN 2020016183 (ebook) | ISBN

      9781119373520 (cloth) | ISBN 9781119374015 (adobe pdf) | ISBN

      9781119373957 (epub)

      Subjects: LCSH: Reliability (Engineering)–Statistical methods.

      Classification: LCC TA169 .H68 2021 (print) | LCC TA169 (ebook) | DDC

      620/.00452–dc23

      LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020016182

      LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020016183

      Cover Design: Wiley

      Cover Images: System reliability theory Courtesy of Marvin Rausand,

      Abstract purple and pink polygonal © Tuomas Lehtinen/Getty Images

       To Hella; Guro and Idunn; and Emil and Tiril

       To: Nicolas; Penelope; and Garance

      This book provides a basic, but rather comprehensive introduction to system reliability theory and the main methods used in reliability analyses. System reliability theory is used in many application areas. Some of these are illustrated in the book as examples and problems.

      Readers who are familiar with the second edition (Rausand and Høyland 2004) will find that the third edition is a major update and that most chapters have been rewritten. The most significant changes include:

       A new Chapter 2 defining the study object and its functions and operating context is included. System modeling by reliability block diagrams is introduced and the concept of complexity is discussed.

       A new Chapter 3 defining and discussing the concepts of failure and fault, together with several associated concepts is added. Two failure analysis techniques are presented.

       New component importance metrics are included.

       The treatment of dependent failures is significantly extended.

       Section 8.8 on complex systems in the second edition is removed from the chapter on Markov analysis where several new models are added.

       A new Chapter 2 on preventive maintenance is added. This chapter merges aspects from the previous edition with new models and methods. The presentation is supplemented by Python scripts that are found on the book companion site.

       Chapters 11 and 13 in the second edition on life data analysis and Bayesian reliability analysis are totally rewritten. The statistical program system R is extensively used in the presentation.

       Chapter 12 in the second edition on accelerated testing has been removed, but parts of the chapter are moved to the chapter on reliability data analysis.

       The end of chapter problems have been revised and new problems are added.

       Most of the appendices are removed. The content is partly integrated in the text and partly obsolete because of the use of R.

       An author index is provided.

      An immense amount of relevant information is today available on the Internet, and many of the topics in this book may be found as books, reports, lecture notes, or slides written by lecturers from many different universities. The quality of this information is varying and ranging from very high to rather low, the terminology is often not consistent, and it may sometimes be a challenge to read some of these Internet resources. The reader is encouraged to search the Internet for alternative presentations and compare with the book. This way, new ideas and increased insight may spring up.

      With the abundance of free information on the Internet, it is pertinent to ask whether a traditional book is really needed. We strongly believe that a book may provide a more coherent knowledge and we have tried to write the book with this in mind.

      The book is written primarily for engineers and engineering students, and the examples and applications are related to technical systems. There are three groups that constitute our primary audience:

       The book was originally written as a textbook for university courses in system reliability at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU) in Trondheim. This third edition is based on experience gained from use of the first two editions, at NTNU and many other universities, and also from using the book in a wide range of short courses for industry.

       The second is to be a guide for engineers and consultants who carry out practical system reliability analyses of technical systems.

       The third is to be a guide for engineers and consultants in areas where reliability

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