Theorizing Crisis Communication. Timothy L. Sellnow

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can reduce uncertainty and anxiety and influence what messages the public receives. Creating some sense of control and, thus, order is critical during the uncertainty and chaos of a crisis. Finally, a theory can help guide research by creating questions that can be tested and by generating new theories. Theory guides research by pointing to the questions that need to be answered and by putting them in a form that can be answered. Once research is completed, the results can be placed in the theoretical framework to refine the propositions further or, in some cases, demonstrate that the theory is incorrect. In this case, an entirely new set of propositions is needed. Thus, theory is tested through research. A theory cannot be proven to be entirely accurate or correct, however, because there are always new cases. It is more accurate, therefore, to say a theory has received support than to claim it is true or proven.

Organize observations of a phenomenon or sets of related phenomenaDescribe what is observedExplain the relationships between constructsPredict what will happen in a particular circumstanceControl the outcome when it is possible to predictInform practice by helping people understand what is happeningFacilitate critique by promoting understanding of what can happenPromote inquiry and research by helping investigators form questionsPromote other theory building by proving related insights

      This “If A then B” structure underlies most theories, as theories do take many other forms. One form is the taxonomy, which might be framed as “A is not B, is not C, is not D.” A taxonomy is a system of classification whereby some groups of phenomena are sorted according to their types. Table 1.2 presented three common crisis taxonomies. The value of a taxonomy is that it specifies similarities and differences. As with definitions, taxonomies help clarify the range of concepts under investigation. A second form of theory is the model; in fact, all theories can be described as models in the sense that they are representations or abstractions of the real world. The theory “If a condition is perceived to be a crisis, then people will experience high levels of uncertainty” is a verbal model. The description is a verbal representation or model. There are also pictorial models, such as the food recall model presented in Chapter 4, or models of hurricane tracks and land falls. Mathematical models, system models, scale models, and hybrid models are also used in research. Each seeks to represent reality and describe the relationship between elements. Models are particularly helpful in demonstrating relationships such as time, sequence, or proximity. They can help clarify and visualize the relationships between elements of the theory, especially when those relationships are complex.

      Theories may also be described as specialized, narrow, or grand. A specialized theory is a narrow proposition designed for a very limited application or circumstance. Most crisis theories are relatively specialized formulations developed to explain specific phenomena. A grand theory is a formulation that seeks to describe and explain a much broader range of phenomena. These theories are appealing in that they have the potential to unify many more limited theories and create an overall picture of the phenomenon under investigation. Chaos theory, with very wide-ranging application as described in Chapter 6, is one such theory. While chaos theory explains a great deal, it falls short of being a grand theory in that it does not create a complete understanding of any one phenomenon. When a set of propositions becomes general and abstract, it is called a paradigm. “A paradigm can be viewed as a set of basic beliefs (or metaphysics) that deals with ultimates or first principles” (Guba & Lincoln, 1994, p. 107). It is a mental window or worldview that specifies elements, relationships, and assumptions. According to Kuhn (1962), a paradigm can also be described as a “coherent set of concepts, principles, assumptions, and basic axioms that have come to be accepted by a sufficiently significant number of researchers or practitioners in the field” (cited in Dills & Romiszowski, 1997, p. xi). Probably the most popular paradigm in communication research is systems theory, which outlines the general dynamic homeostasis that characterizes the relationship between supra systems, systems, and subsystems (Bertalanffy, 1950). According to systems theory, various forms of feedback maintain stability by regulating the operation of systems. As a paradigm, systems theory is too general to generate specific testable hypotheses. Nonetheless, it has been widely influential in the formulation of other theories.

      Finally, theories themselves may be loosely grouped or categorized by similar characteristics in form, function, or area of explanation. These families of theories, such as developmental theories, mass communication theories, or theories of warning, typically focus on similar issues or phenomena. In doing so, they comment on one another and create a richer, more complete understanding of the area being examined. Often within a family of theory there are conflicting and competing formulations and research is required to sort out which is the most useful explanation. Image repair theories of crisis are a family of related theories that, taken together, provide a rich perspective to explain how organizations respond to crises. Various theories of warning address the challenges of disseminating messages about impending risks under conditions of uncertainty that will motivate people to take appropriate action.

      Critiquing Theory

      As

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