Introduction to Linear Regression Analysis. Douglas C. Montgomery

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      WILEY SERIES IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

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      Editors: David J. Balding, Noel A. C. Cressie, Garrett M. Fitzmaurice, Harvey Goldstein, Iain M. Johnstone, Geert Molenberghs, David W. Scott, Adrian F. M. Smith, Ruey S. Tsay, Sanford Weisberg

      Editors Emeriti: Vic Barnett, J. Stuart Hunter, Joseph B. Kadane, Jozef L. Teugels

      A complete list of the titles in this series appears at the end of this volume.

      INTRODUCTION TO LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS

      Sixth Edition

       DOUGLAS C. MONTGOMERY

      Arizona State University

      School of Computing, Informatics, and Decision Systems Engineering

      Tempe, AZ

       ELIZABETH A. PECK

      The Coca-Cola Company (retired)

      Atlanta, GA

       G. GEOFFREY VINING

      Virginia Tech

      Department of Statistics

      Blacksburg, VA

Logo: Wiley

      This sixth edition first published 2021

      © 2021 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

      Edition History John Wiley and Sons, Inc. (5e, 2012)

      All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, except as permitted by law. Advice on how to obtain permission to reuse material from this title is available at http://www.wiley.com/go/permissions.

      The right of Douglas C. Montgomery, Elizabeth A. Peck, and G. Geoffrey Vining to be identified as the authors of this work has been asserted in accordance with law.

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       Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

      Names: Montgomery, Douglas C., author. | Peck, Elizabeth A., 1953– author. | Vining, G. Geoffrey, 1954– author.

      Title: Introduction to linear regression analysis / Douglas C. Montgomery, Elizabeth A. Peck, G. Geoffrey Vining.

      Description: Fifth edition. | Hoboken, New Jersey : Wiley, [2020] | Series: Wiley series in probability and statistics | Includes bibliographical references and index.

      Identifiers: LCCN 2020034055 (print) | LCCN 2020034056 (ebook) | ISBN 9781119578727 (hardback) | ISBN 9781119578741 (adobe pdf) | ISBN 9781119578758 (epub)

      Subjects: LCSH: Regression analysis.

      Classification: LCC QA278.2 .M65 2020 (print) | LCC QA278.2 (ebook) | DDC 519.5/36–dc23

      LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020034055 LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020034056

      Cover Design: Wiley

      Cover Images: Abstract marbled background, blue marbling wavy lines © oxygen/Getty Images, Linear Regression analysis graph Courtesy of Douglas C. Montgomery

      PREFACE

      Regression analysis is one of the most widely used techniques for analyzing multifactor data. Its broad appeal and usefulness result from the conceptually logical process of using an equation to express the relationship between a variable of interest (the response) and a set of related predictor variables. Regression analysis is also interesting theoretically because of elegant underlying mathematics and a well-developed statistical theory. Successful use of regression requires an appreciation of both the theory and the practical problems that typically arise when the technique is employed with real-world data.

      This book is intended as a text for a basic course in regression analysis. It contains the standard topics for such courses and many of the newer ones as well. It blends both theory and application so that the reader will gain an understanding of the basic principles necessary to apply regression model-building techniques in a wide variety of application environments. The book began as an outgrowth of notes for a course in regression analysis taken by seniors and first-year graduate students in various fields of engineering, the chemical and physical sciences, statistics, mathematics, and management. We have also used the material in many seminars and industrial short courses for professional audiences. We assume that the reader has taken a first course in statistics and has familiarity with hypothesis tests and confidence intervals and the normal,

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