John Redmond. Dermot Meleady

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supporters with him. He would gamble on the resonances of the moment of victory as providing the appropriate setting for a display of magnanimity to Ulster, an effort at ensuring a peaceful birth for Home Rule. Unfortunately, his mistake was to have left it until too late. The scheduled debate never took place, having been overtaken by the onset of the Great War on 3 August.

      Bad luck, or more particularly the interposition of the war and the Easter 1916 insurrection, is often said to be responsible for Redmond’s downfall. Luck, however, played both for and against him. With no agreement on the exact terms of Ulster’s exclusion in late July 1914, the onset of war and the placing of a suspended Home Rule Act on the statute book postponed the question and bought him time, enabling him to envisage new opportunities for conciliation on the Western Front. The contrary turns of fortune in the prolongation of the war and the insurrection undoubtedly multiplied his difficulties, and might well have been catastrophic for him, and for Home Rule, even without the partition issue. In this context, his refusal of Asquith’s offer of a Cabinet seat in the wartime coalition Government in May 1915 seems in retrospect a serious mistake.

      The pillars of Redmond’s enduring legacy – his development of the constitutional tradition of nationalism as the heir of O’Connell, Butt and Parnell, his self-sacrificing dedication to his nation’s independence and his great achievements in laying the foundations of a self-governing, democratic Irish state – were all submerged in the ignominy of his final defeats. Having fought against difficulties arguably greater than any faced by them, he suffered the additional ill luck of being the last in the line, thus being denied the public remembrance and the monuments that had honoured the others in turn. Politics is a merciless business that does not reward prudence, vision or far-sightedness unless accompanied by short-term success. History can afford to take a kinder view.

      Notes and References

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