p.10.3 3 US DoD Joint Publication 5‐0, “Joint Planning” 16 June 2017, p. V‐31.
4 4 Box, G. E. P. (1979), "Robustness in the strategy of scientific model building", in Launer, R. L. ; Wilkinson, G. N. (eds.), Robustness in Statistics, Academic Press, pp. 201–236
5 5 Vego, “German War Gaming,” p. 108.
6 6 Vego, “German War Gaming,” p. 110.
7 7 Lanchester F.W., Mathematics in Warfare in The World of Mathematics, Vol. 4 (1956) Ed. Newman J.R., Simon and Schuster, 2138–2157
8 8 Perry, Nigel . “Verification and Validation of the Fractal Attrition Equation,” Defence Systems Analysis Division, Defence Science and Technology Organisation, DSTO‐TR‐1822, PO Box 1500 Edinburgh South Australia 5111, Australia, January 2006.
9 9 Appleget, J. “The combat simulation of Desert Storm with applications for contingency operations” Naval Research Logistics (NRL) , Volume 42, Issue 4, Pages 710–711, 1995.
10 10 Edward Miller. War Plan Orange: the U.S. Strategy to Defeat Japan 1897–1945 (Annapolis. MD: Naval Institute Press, 1991), 156.
11 11 Donald C. Winter, remarks at Naval War College Current Strategy Forum, Newport, RI, 13 June 2006.
12 12 “A History of Serious Games” powerpoint presentation, Roger Smith, Chief Technology Officer, US Army PEO STRI.
13 13 John Hanley, Changing DoD’s Analysis Paradigm,” Naval War College Review, 70, 1 (2017): Article 5. pp. 65‐66,
14 14 CARMONETTE, A Concept of Tactical War Games, Operations Research Office TACSPIEL Group, Department of the Army, Staff Paper ORO‐SP‐33 , November 1957, p.1.
15 15 CARMONETTE, A Concept of Tactical War Games, Operations Research Office TACSPIEL Group, Department of the Army, Staff Paper ORO‐SP‐33 , November 1957, p.1.
16 16 CARMONETTE Volume I General Description Prepared By General Research Corporation Operations Analysis Division Westgate Research Park Mclean, Virginia 22101 Under Contract DAAG 39‐74‐C‐0128 For US Army Concepts Analysis Agency 8120 Woodmont Avenue Bethesda, Maryland 20014, November 1974 p 1.
17 17 TRADOC Systems Analysis Activity. (undated). Battle Analyzer and Tactical Trainer for Local Engagements, White Sands Missile Range, New Mexico (development of the BATTLE simulation was initiated in August 1976).
18 18 Jeff Appleget and Fred Cameron,” Analytic Wargaming on the Rise,” Phalanx 48, No.1, (March 2015): 28–32
19 19 Jeff Applegte, Robert Burks, Fred Cameron, The Craft of Wargaming: A Detailed Planning Guide for Defense Planners and Analysts. (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 2020): 17–18.
20 20 Appleget and Cameron, 30–31.
21 21 Appleget, J., C. Blais and M. Jaye, “Best practices for US Department of Defense model validation: lessons learned from irregular warfare models,” Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology , 10(4) 395–410, 2013.
22 22 http://www.pacific‐science.com/ad7/sites/default/files/HSCB%20Project%20Summary_13Mar12_0.pdf, referenced 06/27/2019.
23 23 Body, H. and C. Marston “The Peace Support Operations Model: Origins, Development, Philosophy and Use,” Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology , 8(2) 69 –77, 2010.
24 24 Nannini, Christopher J., Jeffrey A Appleget and Alejandro S Hernandez. “Game for Peace: progressive education in peace operations,” Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology , 10(3) 283–296, 2013.
25 25 Connable, Ben ; Walter L. Perry, Abby Doll, Natasha Lander, Dan Madden, “Modeling, Simulation, and Operations Analysis in Afghanistan and Iraq: Operational Vignettes, Lessons Learned, and a Survey of Selected Efforts” RAND Corporation , National Defense Research Institute, Santa Monica,CA, 2014, p. 26.
26 26 Connable, Ben ; Walter L. Perry, Abby Doll, Natasha Lander, Dan Madden, “Modeling, Simulation, and Operations Analysis in Afghanistan and Iraq: Operational Vignettes, Lessons Learned, and a Survey of Selected Efforts” RAND Corporation , National Defense Research Institute, Santa Monica,CA, 2014.
27 27 Appleget, Jeffrey, Robert Burks, and Michael Jaye, “A demonstration of ABM validation techniques by applying docking to the Epstein civil violence model,” Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation: Applications, Methodology, Technology , 11(4) 403–411, 2014.
28 28 Personal experience of Jeff Appleget, Commander of Troops, TRAC‐WSMR, 2001‐2004.
29 29 Communication with Phillip Pournelle, CDR, USN (retired), former office of Net Assessments analyst, 17 June 2020.
30 30 Chapter 13, “Verification Revisited” in Military Modeling for Decision Making, MORS 1997, edited by Wayne P. Hughes, Jr.
31 31 Faucett, J.E. (2019) “ Shore‐based Anti‐Ship Missile Capability and Employment Concept Exploration,” Master’s Thesis, Naval Postgraduate School,Monterey, CA, June 2019.
32 32 Dewar, J.A., J.J. Gillogly, and M.L. Juncosa, Non‐Monotonicity, Chaos, and Combat Models , RAND, Santa Monica,
