Supply Chain Management For Dummies. Daniel Stanton

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about sharing information and getting people to agree on a plan. Several software companies offer S&OP tools to help the sales and operations teams automate workflows and streamline the process.

      

Before making an investment in S&OP software, it’s a good idea to get input from consultants who specialize in S&OP and to check out the latest product reviews from software analyst firms. Companies whose products get high marks will often provide free copies of these reports.

      Customer versus supplier

      Each company in a supply chain has an effect on all the others. If your company surprises one of your suppliers with a big order, that order is likely to create problems — and cost the supplier money. But if your supplier has a pretty good idea of what you’re going to buy and when you’re going to buy it, the supplier can plan in such a way to meet your needs while keeping its own inventory and transportation costs low. In other words, everyone wins when supply chain partners collaborate and share information.

      One way for supply chain partners to help one another is through a process called collaborative planning, forecasting, and replenishment (CPFR). In the CPFR process, companies share information about how much they expect their customers to buy and how much inventory they have on hand so that they can help each other achieve high service levels with lower amounts of inventory. You can download a good overview of CPFR at https://bit.ly/3lv9Tnu.

      

CPFR is a registered trademark of GS-1, a not-for-profit association that maintains supply chain communication standards.

      Engineering versus procurement

      Engineering teams are always looking for ways to innovate, make changes, and improve products. For their innovation processes to work well, engineers often develop relationships with suppliers that can be flexible and collaborative, but this flexibility and the time invested in understanding the engineers’ needs have a cost. Typically, the suppliers that are best at innovating and collaborating are the most expensive. Meanwhile, the procurement team is always looking for ways to get products that meet the minimum specifications at the most favorable price. The lowest prices typically come from suppliers that produce at the minimum quality level with highly standardized systems and processes. The conflicting goals between engineering and procurement can lead to tension within a company.

      Another way to manage the trade-off between engineering and purchasing is to use a design-build strategy. With design-build, a single contract is awarded to a supplier that both designs and makes a product. That way, the designer has an incentive to keep manufacturing costs low, and the manufacturer has an incentive to pursue innovative design options.

      Inventory versus customer service

      Inventory costs money because it ties up working capital, eats up labor and real estate, and depreciates quickly. Many supply chain professionals and business analysts will even tell you that inventory is the enemy. You may wonder why everyone doesn’t eliminate all inventory. Wouldn’t supply chain management be a whole lot easier if you didn’t have to deal with warehouses, distribution centers, and stock rooms?

      That approach has one major problem: Companies make money by selling products to their customers, and if they have no product to sell, they earn no revenue. When you think about what customers value — what they’re willing to pay for — the product itself is only part of the equation. You have to consider, for example, whether customers would be willing to pay the same amount for your product if they had to pick it up 100 miles away or had to wait for it for a year. In other words, the placement and availability of a product have a big effect on its value to your customers and on your revenue. Inventory acts as a buffer against uncertainty about who’s going to buy your product, how much they’re going to buy, when they’re going to buy it, and where they’re going to want it.

      Whether your customers buy your product in a store or through a website, your ability to provide them all the products they want when they order them is called your service level. High service levels are good for business. Customers tend to buy from suppliers that meet their needs quickly, so high service levels can increase revenue and grow market share. Achieving a high service level typically requires you to have inventory on hand. To maintain a 100 percent service level, you’d need to have an infinite amount of inventory, which is unrealistic, so you need to find ways to manage the tension between reducing inventories to lower costs and increasing inventories to maintain acceptable service levels.

      The way to deal with potential errors in a forecast is to keep extra inventory on hand. The better the forecast is — the more confidence you have in it — the less extra inventory you need to keep to meet your desired customer service levels. If you don’t trust your forecast and want to make sure that you have products to sell when customers want them, you need to carry extra inventory.

      The degree to which a forecast is wrong is called forecast error. Improving your forecasts involves reducing this error as much as possible. Two kinds of errors can occur in a forecast:

       An unbiased error is random and generally is a result of imperfect information.

       A biased error is an error that occurs in a pattern. A forecast might always be higher or lower than actual sales, for example.

Graph depicting a biased forecast that is always higher than the actual sales, for measuring a biased error that occurs in a pattern.

      FIGURE 3-3: Biased forecast.

It’s often easy to spot forecast bias by creating a graph that compares forecast data with actual data.

      

The degree of forecast accuracy is usually measured as the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).

      When everything is said and done, the real way that most

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