Adam Smith. Craig Smith

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Stewart’s biography of Smith where he describes the method as ‘Theoretical’ or ‘Conjectural’ or ‘Natural’ History.42 The example that Stewart chooses to illustrate Smith’s use of the method is the ‘Considerations Concerning the First Formations of Languages’. Smith attached this essay to Moral Sentiments from the third edition of 1767 onwards, and it is a good illustration of his more general approach to historical explanation. As Stewart points out, it is impossible for us to gain knowledge of the actual early development of language and yet, to quote him,

      if we can shew, from the known principles of human nature, how all its various parts might gradually have arisen, the mind is not only to a certain degree satisfied, but a check is given to that indolent philosophy, which refers to a miracle, whatever appearances, both in the natural and moral worlds, it is unable to explain.43

      Theoretical history is a form of scientific explanation that provides a plausible account of the operation of some particular phenomenon by using the known to account for the unknown.

      Conjectural history also represents a desire to account for the diversity of forms of human society, and for the fact that societies change form over time. We are faced by a lack of direct evidence of the early history of our own society, so rather than create imaginary states of nature like the contract theorists do, we should instead look to the evidence of the condition of other societies. This method is based on the assumption that there are sufficient underlying universalities of human nature and human social life to make meaningful comparisons. Given what we know about human nature from the observation of human life from the historical record and contemporary societies, we can form theories about the sorts of institutions and practices that may have existed in the distant past. The aim is not to invent history, but rather to create a theoretical understanding of the likely path of human development. What is of interest here is not the history of any one society, but rather to draw on the evidence of different societies to develop a theory of the historical development of ‘society’ as a category of social explanation.

      In the Lectures on Jurisprudence, Smith makes extensive use of the method. The lectures include a series of case studies in comparative law where the examples of different legal systems’ responses to shared practices, such as property ownership or inheritance, are used to make generalizations about how similar types of society develop similar practices. Smith draws extensively on Scottish and European examples, but he also draws on the description of the social practices of the Native American tribes that had been provided in the accounts of travellers. This was a way of acquiring information about a society that existed in a stage of development that was similar to that of our own ancestors.

      By comparing several of these accounts, we can corroborate the evidence as accurate on a descriptive level, while at the same time identifying the universal aspects shared by that type of society. We can use the historical evidence to compare and ‘experiment’, discounting material that contradicts what we know about human nature and generalizing from what remains. The point is not to discover absolutely similar institutions or beliefs across societies, but rather to note sufficient similarities to generalize about ‘types’.

      Another practitioner of the method was Smith’s student John Millar. Millar’s Origin of the Distinction of Ranks (1771) is a classic of conjectural history that applies the Smithian ‘four stages’ theory to basic forms of human social relationship, including that between men and women and parents and children. In each case, he shows how the context, the main mode of subsistence, such as hunting, shepherding, agriculture, or commerce, shapes the form that the relationship takes. In Millar’s hands, this becomes one of the first sociological accounts of the development of gender inequality.

      Second,

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