href="#ulink_16cd95ce-3078-5e3d-8aa1-10a17d190059">1 We have unashamedly been technology evangelists. But recently something has changed, and now we’ve become worried. Why? Because we increasingly come across not as tech evangelists but as tech apologists.
“AI is the great story of our time!” we say (on stages around the world).
“Data is the new oil.”
“Everything that can be automated will be automated.”
“Hyper-personalization is key to competitive advantage.”
“Don’t be a bad robot — be a good human being.”
“Contact tracing is key to stopping the coronavirus.”
“Pre-digital dinosaurs roam the earth. Don’t be one.”
People nod, and often applaud, which is nice, but then the real questions start.
“How many jobs will AI destroy?”
“What should my kids study?”
“How can we compete against pure digital companies?”
“What will ordinary, non-tech-savvy people do in a world of brilliant tech superstars?”
“Will we need to sacrifice our freedom for our health?”
“How can I beat the robots?”
“What about Universal Basic Income?”
“Will the Fourth Industrial Revolution lead to a real revolution?”
“What scares you?”
Typically, we nod, pause, smile, and say, “That’s a very good question.” Then we try our best to convey a message that acknowledges the concern in the questioner’s mind but also provides a positive, hopeful point of view: “If we take the right actions now, things are going to be OK. Better than OK, in fact.”
Lately, though, we’ve started feeling less certain that things are going to be “better than OK.”
And it’s in that light that we attempt in this short book to ask and begin to answer perhaps the most important questions of our time:
Have we inadvertently built some kind of technology monster that is attacking our society, our economy, and even our individual psychology? If so, what should we do about it?
In our last book, What To Do When Machines Do Everything (published 2017), we didn’t shy away from the impact tech has had — and will have — on disrupting jobs or spurring other downsides of progress and innovation. We laid out a vision that artificial intelligence (AI) and other new technologies are simply the next generation of powerful productivity tools for us to use wisely. These tools will change our world, as new tools always have, by taking us to the next level of potential and achievement.
So far, overall, we’ve been largely right. While it’s true that the pandemic is clearly reshaping how and where we work, it’s also the case that forecasts of AI and robots causing a job apocalypse were overblown. Before the pandemic, employment numbers were at record levels in the Western world, and many sectors show signs of quick recovery. Being “pragmatic optimists” about technology has seen us stand out in crowds of doom-mongers and dystopians.
But concerns about technology’s negative side have grown stronger and stronger since we published Machines, and despite our best efforts to the contrary, the zeitgeist that surrounds technology has become steadily bleaker. Even at a moment when tech has been a lifeline for people stuck at home during the COVID-19 lockdowns.
Central to this darkening mood have been four key trends:
1 The persistent sense of dread (even in the absence of any real evidence) that brilliant machines will outpace even the most brilliant of minds.
2 The ubiquity of social media (and growing awareness of its negative impact at a micro and macro level).
3 The unholy pas de deux between “big money” and “big tech.”
4 The pervasive feeling that in aggregate, tech is making our jobs, personal lives, and even our societies somehow worse, rather than better.
Combined, these dynamics have soured the perception of technology as a force for good, and left many questioning the core tenets of technology’s role in our lives and societies.
Including, now, us. We love technology, remember? But even we are asking ourselves, “What the hell is going on?” Anyone looking at the daily news — except for the most myopic and naïve — could easily think, “Jeez, we are collectively losing our minds!”
Social conventions of privacy and courtesy are melting away. Our democratic institutions — fair elections, civil discourse — seem as quaint and distant as buggies and gas street lamps. Once cool, disruptive tech “rock stars” are being exposed as nothing more than the latest digital robber barons, propped up by easy money that arrives as an “offer you can’t refuse” with few questions attached but in reality is a clear demand to “make me a boatload more money.” Increases in aggression, depression, and self-harm are seen by some as signs that our new machines are melting our brains.
Minds, money, machines, society — together, these systems weave a complex web of history, economics, sociology, religion, law, and politics. They are all interconnected, and together they are morphing the rules of our jobs, lives, and societies in a way we haven’t seen since the First Industrial Revolution.
We can feel it, and you probably can too. While many good things are happening around us, we know we can do better. To improve, though, we must recognize the ground truth about where we are.
These dynamics have, of course, only intensified as COVID-19 has presented the greatest existential threat to our way of life since the second world war. The pandemic severed our normal social connections. In our quarantine solitude, we flocked to the Monster for comfort, fellowship, information, and distraction. Every concern about privacy and the potential dark underbelly of surveillance was swiftly and completely forgotten. In our period of extreme stress, tech became even more central to every aspect of our presence on Earth. Tech’s intrinsic strengths and flaws became more apparent as governments, institutions, corporations, and people responded (leading to unintended consequences, both good and bad).
It’s in that light that we — Paul, Ben, and the many, many colleagues, journalists, academics, clients, colleagues, pals, and family members with whom we interact — have been discussing: “What is happening? What seems to be going wrong? What should we do about it? What kind of world do we want?”
Our exploration is structured around four key pillars:
1 Capital. Tech and money are now inextricably interlinked. What has money done to tech, and what is tech doing to money? Is there any way out of a future in which money is the only thing that matters?
2 Psychology. We are already cyborgs. Our
