Естественные эксперименты в истории. Джеймс А. Робинсон

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      Сложности при выявлении причинно-следственных связей в естественных экспериментах обсуждают, среди прочих: Jared Diamond. Overview: Laboratory Experiments, Field Experiments, and Natural Experiments // Community Ecology / eds. Jared Diamond and Ted Case. New York, 1986. P. 3–22; William Shadish, Thomas Cook, and Donald Campbell. Experimental and Quasi-experimental Designs for Generalized Causal Inference. Boston, 2002; Comparative Historical Analysis in the Social Sciences / eds. James Mahoney and Dietrich Rueschermeyer. New York, 2003; Joshua Angrist and Jorn-Steffan Pischke. Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist’s Companion. Princeton, New Jersey, 2008; Guido Imbens and Donald Rubin. Causal Inference in Statistics, and in the Social and Biomedical Sciences. Cambridge, 2008; Thad Dunning. Improving Causal Inference: Strengths and Limitations of Natural Experiments // Political Research Quarterly. 2008. № 61. P. 282–293.