Critical Decade, A: China's Foreign Policy (2008-2018). Zhiqun Zhu
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2The term “Thucydides’ Trap” was popularized by Harvard Professor Graham Allison in his book Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? (Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2017). However, international relations scholars especially those working on the power transition theory have presented the same concept long ago. For an analysis of how the power transition theory can be applied to US–China relations, see for example, Zhu (2006) and Chan (2007), For the original power transition theory, see Organski (1968).
3Tensions on the Korean Peninsula were lowered to some extent as a result of inter-Korean reconciliation and the Trump–Kim summit in Singapore in 2018, however, the future of the Korean Peninsula remains uncertain.
4For a brief overview of the “1992 Consensus” and why Taiwan should accept it in order to improve cross-Strait relations, see Hickey and Huang (2018).
5During Prime Minister Abe’s visit in October 2018, China and Japan vowed to raise the relationship to a new level. Japan pledged to actively participate in the BRI, especially in developing infrastructure in third countries. This is encouraging, but due to historical and structural conflicts, Japan–China relations remain delicate.
6“How Much Trade Transits the South China Sea?” China Power Project, CSIS, Washington, DC, undated report. https://chinapower.csis.org/much-trade-transits-south-china-sea/. Accessed on November 15, 2018.
7First agreed upon between India and China in 1954 to handle Sino-Indian relations, these five principles have guided Chinese foreign policy since. The Five Principles are: mutual respect for each other’s territorial integrity and sovereignty, mutual nonaggression, mutual non-interference in each other’s internal affairs, equality and cooperation for mutual benefit, and peaceful coexistence.
8For a discussion of “Indo-Pacific,” see Zhu (2017). The article is also included in this book.
9Pence’s speech transcript can be found on the White House website here at: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/remarks-vice-president-pence-administrations-policy-toward-china/.
10“AIT Dedicates New Office Complex in Taipei,” AIT News and Events, June 12, 2018, from the AIT website at: https://www.ait.org.tw/ait-dedicates-new-officecomplex-in-taipei/.
11Remarks by Henry M. Paulson, Jr., on the United States and China at a Crossroads, The Bloomberg New Economy Forum, Singapore, November 7, 2018.
12For an examination of how local governments affect China’s foreign policymaking, see Hao and Lin (2006).
13See, for example, a Washington Post report of the incident, “Japan to Release Chinese Boat Captain,” September 24, 2010, and a BBC report “Boat Collisions Spark Japan–China Diplomatic Row,” September 8, 2010.
14Kevin Rudd on Xi Jinping, China and the Global Order, Speech at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, June 26, 2018.
15For example, Zhao (2005); Ren (2000); Yu (2014); and Guo (2005). For a general survey of developing a Chinese theory of international relations, see, for example, Noesselt (2015) and Feng et al. (2019). Also see “Theories of Chinese Foreign Policy” in Chapter Two of this book.
16Constructivism, with its focus on norms, values, and identity, has been used by some to analyze China’s foreign policy today. See, for example, Zhu (2010); Uemura (2015); Yeh (2010); and Jørgensen and Wong (2016).
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