A Handbook on Multi-Attribute Decision-Making Methods. Omid Bozorg-Haddad

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or mathematical functions), or they can be defined implicitly so that the decision‐makers’ experiences, expertise, perception, and instincts are reflected in the alternatives’ preference evaluation.

      The previous classification categorizes classical MADM methods, yet it may face difficulties categorizing some of the modern MADM methods whose features do not fit either one of the previously cited categories. Belton and Stewart (2002) proposed a more sophisticated classification system for MADM methods that addresses the latter classification difficulties. The alternate classification categorizes the MADM methods within three classes, namely, value measurement, goal aspirations or reference level, and outranking methods. This classification is a reviewed next.

      Value‐measurement MADM methods implement numerical scales to represent the degree to which a feasible alternative may be preferable to another. The scores obtained for each alternative are developed initially for each individual evaluation criterion and are then synthesized to rate the overall performance of the alternatives. The scores assigned to each of the feasible alternatives reflect a preference order. These preferences must be consistent with a set of axioms, which are as follows (Belton and Stewart 2002; Mendoza and Martins 2006):

      1 (I) Constant discipline and roles must be imposed by the decision‐maker in the construction procedure of preference measurement scales;

      2 (II) Provide a framework through which the decision‐makers are able to systematically analyze the obtained preference values and gain a deeper understanding of the process that led to the final results; and

      3 (III) Promoting explicit statements, rather than implicit judgments regarding the trade‐offs between evaluation criteria.

      Desirable or satisfactory levels of achievement must be defined by the decision‐makers for each evaluation criterion. Through these reference level methods, those alternatives that are closest to achieving the goals or aspirations are identified. These types of MADM methods are recommended for those cases in which decision‐makers may not be able to express trade‐offs or identify importance weights of the evaluation criteria. Nevertheless, the most desirable outcome can be portrayed through arbitrary aspirations or goals for each criterion. As far as these branches of MADM is concerned, an alternative that represents the most similarities with the arbitrary defined ideal solution can best reflect the stakeholders’ interests in the process of decision‐making. Through the framework represented by this branch of MADM methods, the feasible alternatives, which are available courses of actions, are systematically eliminated until achieving a solution that best fits the stakeholders’ ideal outcome for the MADM problem at hand (Belton and Stewart 2002; Mendoza and Martins 2006).

      Lastly, outranking MADM methods evaluate alternatives’ relative performances against one another using a comparison‐oriented framework. Outranking MADM methods, the first evaluate feasible alternatives by the decision‐makers in terms of evaluation criteria to establish their merits. This is followed by an aggregation stage whereby the gathered information is used as evidence to obtain an alternative that outrank others and emerges as the optimal solution. The aggregation stage establishes the relations between the alternatives in terms of preference, indifference, and incomparability. Consequently, a complete ranking of alternatives is produced.

      1.2.2 Attributes’ Interactions

      In any MADM, the decision‐maker is dealing with the presence of a number of evaluation criteria. In essence, each MADM method offers a different approach to aggregate each criterion’s value to obtain an optimal solution. Based on that notion MADM methods are divided into two main categories, namely, compensatory and noncompensatory (Jeffreys 2004). In compensatory techniques, the poor performance of an alternative in some criteria can be compensated by high performance in some other criteria. Therefore, the aggregated performance of an alternative might not reveal its weakness area. In contrast, in noncompensatory techniques, the significant poor performance of an alternative in some criteria cannot be compensated with high performance in other criteria. The aggregated performance reflect this fact. In other words, each criterion can independently play a crucial rule in the aggregated performance of an alternative (Banihabib et al. 2017).

      1.2.3 The Mathematical Nature of Attributes’ Values

      From a mathematical point of view, variables, and in this case evaluating criteria, can have different nature, such as, deterministic vs. nondeterministic, and fuzzy vs. crisp. MADM methods can be divided into the following categories.

      1.2.3.1 Deterministic Vs. Nondeterministic

      Deterministic MADM methods involve decision‐makers who are certain about the occurrence of the set of outcomes in a decision‐making problem. On the other hand, nondeterministic problems involve the occurrence of outcomes with stochastic components of a random‐based nature (Pearl 1996; Tzeng and Huang 2011). In such case, the likelihood of an outcome would play a direct role in selecting the most suitable alternative (Coombs and Pruitt 1960). Nondeterministic methods are beyond the scope of this book.

      1.2.3.2 Fuzzy Vs. Crisp

      Crip MADM modeling expresses the decision‐makers’ preferences with numeric values. However, there are cases in which the subjective uncertainties that are surrounding decision‐makers prevent the stockholders to express their preferences with a crisp number (Tzeng and Huang 2011). In such situations, decision‐makers may rely on a fuzzy set that can best describe the stockholders’ preferences. Fuzzy sets offer the benefit of implying linguistic evaluation, which in turn, would ease the evaluation process of the decision‐makers (Bellman and Zadeh 1970).

      It is vital for decision‐makers to distinguish the fuzzy‐uncertainty logic from the probability‐uncertainty logic, and to use them in the proper context. In cases where the certainty of outcomes is in question, the probability‐uncertainty logic is the recommended tool. In such situations, the decision‐makers’ decision‐tree is founded on at least one uncertain event. Consequently, the probability of each outcome would play a role in determining the most suitable alternative. On the other hand, when the decision‐makers are not certain on how to express the preference of an alternative, the fuzzy logic becomes the favored option. Fuzzy evaluation enables decision‐makers to describe an alternative’s preference through a fuzzy set employing membership functions. In essence, while the probability‐uncertainty logic deals with the probability of outcomes

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