Spatial Impacts of Climate Change. Denis Mercier

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ago), the terrestrial cryosphere capitalized on the planet’s land spaces led to an eustatic decrease of around 120 to 130 m in the global ocean. In retrospect, during previous interglacial periods such as the Eemian (128,000 to 116,000 years ago), the temperature was around 3.5°C higher than today’s, which led to a significant melting of the terrestrial cryosphere and a rise in the average sea and ocean level of between 6.6 and 9.4 m above the current level (Lageat 2019). We are now experiencing a few decimeters per century in sea level rise, as a result of the partial melting of what is currently left of the Earth’s cryosphere. However, over the next several centuries, the continued melting of the cryosphere could bring the average sea and ocean level back to the Eemian level average, due in part to the melting of Greenland’s ice. However, the consequences of this current melting of the cryosphere due to warming air temperatures affect all components of the climatic and hydrological mechanics.

      Spatial Impacts of Climate Change, coordinated by Denis Mercier. © ISTE Ltd 2021.

      Table 2.1. The components of the cryosphere. The marine cryosphere is not included in this table because the melting of the sea ice does not induce sea level rise

       (source: Francou and Vincent 2011)

Cryosphere component Surface area in km2 Volume in km3 (water equivalent) Sea level equivalent (the surface of the oceans represents 361 million km2)
Antarctica 12.4 million 27 million 65 m
Greenland 1.8 million 2.7 million 7 m
Permafrost 23 million 0.24 million 1.1 m
Mountain glaciers 0.43 million 0.08 million 0.24 m
Snow 4 to 46 million 500 to 5000 0.1 to 1 cm
Photo depicts the extension of the cryosphere.

      Figure 2.1. Extension of the cryosphere. For a color version of this figure, see www.iste.co.uk/mercier/climate.zip

      (source: © Hugo Ahlenius, UNEP/GRID-Arendal)

      Moreover, the cryosphere is sensitive to the fundamental role played by albedo. The bright surfaces of the marine and terrestrial cryosphere reflect a significant proportion of solar radiation (see Chapter 1). Snow reflects 75-95% of the sun's energy, glaciers 40-60%. The reduction of these areas with a high albedo potential automatically leads to an increase in areas that absorb more solar radiation and, through a positive feedback loop, contribute to the warming of the lower layers of the atmosphere.

      2.3.1. The melting of the Arctic sea ice

      Between 1979 and 2019, the Arctic sea ice lost 12.9% of its surface area per decade, representing a loss of half of its surface area by the end of the melt season (see Figure 2.2). As a result, in September 2019, Arctic sea ice occupied just over 4 million km2, compared to almost 8 million km2 in 1979. This trend represented a loss of 82,400 km2 per year between 1979 and 2019. Beyond this four-decade trend,

      Figure 2.2 shows that the melting of the sea ice has in fact slowed over the last 13 years (2007-2019).

Graph depicts the average arctic sea ice extent for the month of September between 1979 and 2019.

      (source: National Snow and Ice Data Center).

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