Spatial Impacts of Climate Change. Denis Mercier

Чтение книги онлайн.

Читать онлайн книгу Spatial Impacts of Climate Change - Denis Mercier страница 15

Spatial Impacts of Climate Change - Denis Mercier

Скачать книгу

Photos depict the spatial extent of arctic sea ice of September 1, 1980 and on September 1 2012 the year in which the extension was the least in the last four decades.

      (source: The Cryosphere Today)

Schematic illustration of (a) Thermodynamic feedback loops; (b) direct mechanics; and (c) indirect mechanics, all explaining the melting of the Arctic sea ice.

      Figure 2.4. (a) Thermodynamic feedback loops; (b) direct mechanics; and (c) indirect mechanics, all explaining the melting of the Arctic sea ice. For a color version of this figure, see www.iste.co.uk/mercier/climate.zip

      (source: modified from Weiss 2008)

      2.3.2. Antarctic sea ice

Graphs depict the Antarctic sea ice extents derived from satellite data DMSP Nimbus7 and NASA.

      Figure 2.5. Antarctic sea ice extents derived from satellite data DMSP Nimbus7 and NASA. For a color version of this figure, see www.iste.co.uk/mercier/climate.zip

      (source: Parkinson 2019)

      The spatial extension of the Antarctic sea ice is symmetrical around the continent from the South Pole and reveals a double spatial astronomical and therefore thermal logic. In addition, sea currents and winds circulate continuously around the continent in an hourly direction. They then act as a thermal barrier surrounding the continent. Unlike the Arctic Basin, the absence of a land boundary around the continent allows Antarctic sea ice to float freely towards mid-latitudes where warmer waters cause it to melt. As a result, most of the sea ice that forms during the southern winter melts during the summer season. During the winter, the Antarctic sea ice reached an average of 18 million km2 between 1981 and 2010 with a maximum extension in September. In September 2014, it even reached 20 million km2. Its minimum extension was still registered in February with less than 5 million km2 (see Figure 2.5; NSIDC 2019; Parkinson 2019).

      Since record levels in 2014 and despite the significant declines in recent years in the spatial extent of the Antarctic sea ice, the trend for the period 1979-2018 still remains positive with an increase of 11,300 km2 per year (Parkinson 2019). The causes of this increase in the spatial extent of the Antarctic sea ice have not yet been agreed (Parkinson 2019). On the other hand, the impact of this variability in the extension of the sea ice around Antarctica determines the extent of pre-precipitation for the continent. Between a reduced extension and a vast extension of the sea ice, the difference in precipitation is estimated at 102 Gt per year (Wang et al. 2020).

      2.4.1. Melting ice sheets

      2.4.1.1. The melting of Greenland

Bar chart depicts the total extent of melt day, or sum of daily melt area during the 1999–2019 melt season in Greenland.

      Figure 2.6. Total extent of melt day, or sum of daily melt area during the 1999-2019 melt season in Greenland. For a color version of this figure, see www.iste.co.uk/mercier/climate.zip

      (source: NSIDC)

      Since 2000, the Greenland ice sheet has experienced a general increase in melting, with a melt day area for 2019 totaling 28.3 million square kilometers. Melting has been observed over nearly 90% of the island on at least one day, even reaching the Summit station and much of the high-altitude areas. It was particularly intense along the northern edge of the ice cap, where, compared to the average from 1981 to 2010, melting occurred on an additional 35 days. The number of melt days was also slightly above average along the western flank of the ice cap, with about 15 to 20 more melt days than average. In the south and southeast, the melt was slightly below average within a few days.

Map depicts the number of days of melt at the surface of Greenland's ice sheet between January 1 and November 17, 2019.

      (source: NSIDC, Thomas Mote, University of Georgia)

      2.4.1.2. The melting of the Antarctic

      Between 2006 and 2015, the Antarctic ice sheet lost ice mass at an average rate of 155 ± 19 Gt per year (0.43 ± 0.05 mm per year), mainly due to the rapid thinning and retreat of large glaciers downstream of the continent draining the West Antarctic ice sheet, especially in the Amundsen Sea and Wilkes Land in the eastern part (IPCC 2019).

Скачать книгу