The Birth-Time of the World and Other Scientific Essays. John Joly

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The Birth-Time of the World and Other Scientific Essays - John Joly

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river water contributes to the final result; and this has been

       going on since the beginning of our era. The mighty total of the

       rivers is 6,500 cubic miles of water in the year!

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      There is little doubt that the primeval ocean was in the

       condition of a fresh-water lake. It can be shown that a primitive

       and more rapid solution of the original crust of the Earth by the

       slowly cooling ocean would have given rise to relatively small

       salinity. The fact is, the quantity of salts in the ocean is

       enormous. We are only now concerned with the sodium; but if we

       could extract all the rock-salt (the chloride of sodium) from the

       ocean we should have enough to cover the entire dry land of the

       Earth to a depth of 400 feet. It is this gigantic quantity which

       is going to enter into our estimate of the Earth's age. The

       calculated mass of sodium contained in this rock-salt is 14,130

       million million tonnes.

      If now we can determine the rate at which the rivers supply

       sodium to the ocean, we can determine the age.[1] As the result

       of many thousands of river analyses, the total amount of sodium

       annually discharged to the ocean

      [1] _Trans. R.D.S._, 1899. A paper by Edmund Halley, the

       astronomer, in the _Philosophical Transactions of the Royal

       Society_ for 1715, contains a suggestion for finding the age of

       the world by the following procedure. He proposes to make

       observations on the saltness of the seas and ocean at intervals

       of one or more centuries, and from the increment of saltness

       arrive at their age. The measurements, as a matter of fact, are

       impracticable. The salinity would only gain (if all remained in

       solution) one millionth part in Too years; and, of course, the

       continuous rejection of salts by the ocean would invalidate the

       method. The last objection also invalidates the calculation by T.

       Mellard Reade (_Proc. Liverpool Geol. Soc._, 1876) of a minor limit

       to the age by the calcium sulphate in the ocean. Both papers were

       quite unknown to me when working out my method. Halley's paper

       was, I think, only brought to light in 1908.

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      by all the rivers of the world is found to be probably not far

       from 175 million tonnes.[1] Dividing this into the mass of

       oceanic sodium we get the age as 80.7 millions of years. Certain

       corrections have to be applied to this figure which result in

       raising it to a little over 90 millions of years. Sollas, as the

       result of a careful review of the data, gets the age as between

       80 and 150 millions of years. My own result[2] was between 80 and

       90 millions of years; but I subsequently found that upon certain

       extreme assumptions a maximum age might be arrived at of 105

       millions of years.[3] Clarke regards the 80.7 millions of years

       as certainly a maximum in the light of certain calculations by

       Becker.[4]

      The order of magnitude of these results cannot be shaken unless

       on the assumption that there is something entirely misleading in

       the existing rate of solvent denudation. On the strength of the

       results of another and

      [1] F. W. Clarke, _A Preliminary Study of Chemical Denudation_

       (Smithsonian Miscellaneous Collections, 1910).

      [2] _Loc. cit._

      [3] "The Circulation of Salt and Geological Time" (Geol. Mag.,

       1901, p. 350).

      [4] Becker (loc. cit.), assuming that the exposed igneous and

       archæan rocks alone are responsible for the supply of sodium to

       the ocean, arrives at 74 millions of years as the geological age.

       This matter was discussed by me formerly (Trans. R.D.S., 1899,

       pp. 54 _et seq._). The assumption made is, I believe, inadmissible.

       It is not supported by river analyses, or by the chemical

       character of residual soils from sedimentary rocks. There may be

       some convergence in the rate of solvent denudation, but—as I

       think on the evidence—in our time unimportant.

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      entirely different method of approaching the question of the

       Earth's age (which shall be presently referred to), it has been

       contended that it is too low. It is even asserted that it is from

       nine to fourteen times too low. We have then to consider whether

       such an enormous error can enter into the method. The

       measurements involved cannot be seriously impugned. Corrections

       for possible errors applied to the quantities entering into this

       method have been considered by various writers. My own original

       corrections have been generally confirmed. I think the only point

       left open for discussion is the principle of uniformitarianism

       involved in this method and in the methods previously discussed.

      In order to appreciate the force of the evidence for uniformity

       in the geological history of the Earth, it is, of course,

      

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