The Birth-Time of the World and Other Scientific Essays. John Joly

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is, however, one condition which will operate to unduly

       diminish our estimate of geologic time, and it is a condition

       which may possibly obtain at the present time. If the land is, on

       the whole, now sinking relatively to the ocean level, the

       denudation area tends, as we have seen, to move inwards. It will

       thus encroach upon regions which have not for long periods

       drained to the ocean. On such areas there is an accumulation of

       soluble salts which the deficient rivers have not been able to

       carry to the ocean. Thus the salt content of certain of

      [1] See the essay on Denudation.

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      the rivers draining to the ocean will be influenced not only by

       present denudative effects, but also by the stored results of

       past effects. Certain rivers appear to reveal this unduly

       increased salt supply those which flow through comparatively arid

       areas. However, the flowoff of such tributaries is relatively

       small and the final effects on the great rivers apparently

       unimportant—a result which might have been anticipated when the

       extremely slow rate of the land movements is taken into account.

      The difficulty of effecting any reconciliation of the methods

       already described and that now to be given increases the interest

       both of the former and the latter.

      THE AGE BY RADIOACTIVE TRANSFORMATIONS

      Rutherford suggested in 1905 that as helium was continually being

       evolved at a uniform rate by radioactive substances (in the form

       of the alpha rays) a determination of the age of minerals

       containing the radioactive elements might be made by measurements

       of the amount of the stored helium and of the radioactive

       elements giving rise to it, The parent radioactive substances

       are—according to present knowledge—uranium and thorium. An

       estimate of the amounts of these elements present enables the

       rate of production of the helium to be calculated. Rutherford

       shortly afterwards found by this method an age of 240 millions of

       years for a radioactive mineral of presumably remote age. Strutt,

       who carried

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      his measurements to a wonderful degree of refinement, found the

       following ages for mineral substances originating in different

       geological ages:

      Oligocene - 8.4 millions of years.

       Eocene - 31 millions of years.

       Lower Carboniferous - 150 millions of years.

       Archæan - 750 millions of years.

      Periods of time much less than, and very inconsistent with, these

       were also found. The lower results are, however, easily explained

       if we assume that the helium—which is a gas under prevailing

       conditions—escapes in many cases slowly from the mineral.

      Another product of radioactive origin is lead. The suggestion

       that this substance might be made available to determine the age

       of the Earth also originated with Rutherford. We are at least

       assured that this element cannot escape by gaseous diffusion from

       the minerals. Boltwood's results on the amount of lead contained

       in minerals of various ages, taken in conjunction with the amount

       of uranium or parent substance present, afforded ages rising to

       1,640 millions of years for archæan and 1,200 millions for

       Algonkian time. Becker, applying the same method, obtained

       results rising to quite incredible periods: from 1,671 to 11,470

       millions of years. Becker maintained that original lead rendered

       the determinations indefinite. The more recent results of Mr. A.

       Holmes support the conclusion that "original" lead may be present

       and may completely falsify results derived

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      from minerals of low radioactivity in which the derived lead

       would be small in amount. By rejecting such results as appeared

       to be of this character, he arrives at 370 millions of years as

       the age of the Devonian.

      I must now describe a very recent method of estimating the age of

       the Earth. There are, in certain rock-forming minerals,

       colour-changes set up by radioactive causes. The minute and

       curious marks so produced are known as haloes; for they surround,

       in ringlike forms, minute particles of included substances which

       contain radioactive elements. It is now well known how these

       haloes are formed. The particle in the centre of the halo

       contains uranium or thorium, and, necessarily, along with the

       parent substance, the various elements derived from it. In the

       process of transformation giving rise to these several derived

       substances, atoms of helium—the alpha rays—projected with great

       velocity into the surrounding mineral, occasion the colour

       changes referred to. These changes are limited to the distance to

       which the alpha rays penetrate; hence the halo is a spherical

       volume surrounding the

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