Fateful Triangle. Tanvi Madan

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premier wanted China and India to use the Panchsheel principles jointly to help stop the spread of the US military bloc in Asia. But, while highly critical of US policy toward China in internal correspondence, Nehru was more circumspect in conversations with Zhou. He admitted that US-India relations were “not good,” but declined Zhou’s suggestion that China and India try to corner or isolate the US. Furthermore, Nehru tried to explain the motivation behind US policy toward China, stating that it partly stemmed from domestic politics. He noted, moreover, “the vicious circle of fear”—acting out of fear, the US was encircling and, in turn, creating fear in China and the Soviet Union.121

      In order not to exacerbate American anxieties or further harm US-India relations, Nehru ensured that the Sino-Indian joint statement emerging from the visit did not condemn the US or any other country. Furthermore, as in the case of a US-sponsored Pacific Pact and SEATO, he emphasized his lack of interest in what he interpreted as Zhou’s suggestion for a grouping of Southeast Asian countries; instead, he urged the premier to pursue bilateral understandings with Southeast Asian countries to reassure them.122 Nehru would later also resist visiting Beijing at the same time as Burmese prime minister U Nu, in case that was misconstrued as the beginnings of an anti-SEATO alliance.123

      US intelligence analysts saw Zhou’s visits to India and Burma as part of a Chinese effort to split the noncommunist countries, “dull the[ir] vigilance,” and buy time. Simultaneously, they believed Beijing would continue to subvert noncommunist regimes and build up Chinese military capability.124 After the visit, Allen and his Canadian counterpart worried that Nehru had bought China’s “peaceful intentions” line. The American ambassador lamented that as long as Nehru had “blind faith” in China’s good intentions, he would not even help guarantee Burma’s security—let alone do more.125 There was also concern about the impact on the Indian public’s perceptions of China and the US. In India, Zhou had publicly offered reassurances about China’s intentions, while explaining Chinese concern about American encirclement and regime change efforts, “thus endeavoring to avert [a] picture of China as aggressor to [a] picture of China as [a] victim of United States aggressive designs.”126

      Pillai, in turn, assessed that Zhou’s trip had been designed to reassure India, and also to show Beijing’s independence from Moscow.127 After the visit, Nehru admitted that Zhou’s assurances could have been part of a “clever strategy looking to the distant future.”128 Nonetheless, at that point he was convinced that Chinese leaders did not want war because it would disrupt their efforts to improve conditions within China. The only thing, he believed, that would provoke them was fear of attack. He was impressed by Zhou’s questions about what might reassure Southeast Asian countries. He perceived the lack of an attack on Burma—even though Guomindang (GMD) operations from there gave Beijing an excuse—as evidence of China’s desire for peace.129 Asked by an American correspondent about Zhou’s continued insistence that China had the right to use force to take Taiwan, Nehru said he disagreed with that contention, but dismissed it as directed toward a domestic audience.130

      Assured about China’s near-term intentions, Nehru seemed even more convinced that Washington’s China policy was obstructive. He pointed out to U Nu that he was not alone in thinking that US nonrecognition of the regime in Beijing was unhelpful. He pointed to statements by the Australian and New Zealand foreign ministers. Furthermore, he saw US behavior at Geneva at the time—and, later, the formation of SEATO—as only exacerbating the situation.131

      Some Indian policymakers believed that the state of Sino-Indian relations proved that the Indian approach was better than that of the US. The Indian embassy in China noted that the Sino-Indian agreement showed that Beijing was willing to be a “reasonable negotiator.”132 Nehru told Eden that it suggested a better way than military alliances to “restrain and resolve conflicts.”133 Writing to Indian chief ministers, he outlined his disagreement with the American attitude that communists would never stick to their agreements so it was better to use force rather than diplomacy, pressure rather than persuasion. Moreover, US policy had not been effective and represented a “record of repeated failure.”134

      Nehru subsequently traveled to China in October 1954. The US was again discussed in the Sino-Indian meetings, especially since the visit took place as the first Taiwan Strait crisis was unfolding. Once again, there were differences; once again, Nehru tried to inject moderation into Beijing’s attitude toward the US. He noted that the US position was not as monolithic and hostile as China believed. But Zhou questioned American intentions, asserting that Washington—unlike Delhi or Beijing—did not want to ease global tensions. The US was not just out to protect its interests, as Nehru insisted, but wanted to enlarge them through hostilities. Trying to convince Nehru, Zhou argued that the US was encouraging Pakistan to be expansionist. He drew a contrast with China’s willingness to reassure countries in the neighborhood, noting that the US was doing the opposite. The discussion left Nehru commenting that Zhou’s approach toward the US—with its insistence on preventing American expansion, isolating Washington, and not appeasing the US—mirrored what Washington said about Beijing.135

      In their first meeting, Mao reiterated to Nehru that the US was a threat. When Nehru tried to explain that fear influenced US policies, the chairman retorted that he could not understand what a country like the US had to fear.136 Nehru disagreed with Mao that war should be welcomed if it came. Responding to the chairman, Nehru asserted that, while the Defense Department’s growing influence was problematic, most Americans, including many in government, did not want war. He included Eisenhower in the latter category, explaining that any inconsistency in the president’s position was thanks to his “third-rate advisers.”137

      Publicly, Nehru denied reports that China and India had sharp differences, noting that, while in some cases their basic approaches were different, there were no disagreements during the talks.138 He insisted that following different paths did not inevitably lead to conflict.139 Privately, Nehru told Zhou that he hoped that any differences would not preclude cooperation.140

      Washington watched this trip closely, coming as it did after the Manila Pact creating SEATO. Dulles thought that Nehru’s visit to China might be “on balance, advantageous to the West.” He believed that the prime minister’s China policy stemmed from “admiration and fear in about equal proportions.” He hoped that the visit would heighten that fear via a better understanding of the “implications for India of Chinese Communist policies and strength.”141 But, after his trip, Nehru publicly contradicted Dulles’s assertion that there was no proof that China had changed intentions.142 Mirror-imaging again, he asserted this view privately as well, stating that he had “no doubt at all that the Government and the people of China desire peace and want to concentrate on building up their country during the next decade or two.”143

      The US, concerned about the impact of improved Sino-Indian relations, tried to foster Sino-Indian dissension. One way was to suggest that India replace China on the UN Security Council. This could also help settle the two-Chinas problem.144 The idea was not new—as an adviser to the Truman State Department, Dulles had suggested to Pandit in August 1950 that “America might be happy” with such a move (she had thought it inadvisable given Sino-Indian relations).145 Nehru would later tell Soviet leaders in 1955 that he opposed this, primarily on the grounds that it was intended to disrupt the Sino-Indian relationship. It was not quite clear how Washington planned to bring Moscow on board. The latter only indicated to Delhi that it might suggest India’s inclusion as a sixth member “at a later stage.”146 Nehru eventually acknowledged that the substitution plan might be a way for the US to alleviate its problem of how to include Beijing in the United Nations General Assembly without excluding Taipei, but he remained opposed. He thought the result would be a break with China, which India could not afford.147

      One result of India’s engagement with China was more American

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